Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000143 0.000159 0.000176 0.000196 0.000218 0.000241 0.000269
2025-09-28 0.000120 0.000142 0.000167 0.000197 0.000233 0.000274 0.000324
2025-10-05 0.000102 0.000128 0.000158 0.000196 0.000244 0.000302 0.000378
2025-10-12 0.000091 0.000119 0.000153 0.000200 0.000261 0.000338 0.000443
2025-10-19 0.000081 0.000110 0.000148 0.000200 0.000273 0.000368 0.000504
2025-10-26 0.000072 0.000102 0.000142 0.000200 0.000283 0.000396 0.000565
2025-11-02 0.000065 0.000095 0.000136 0.000199 0.000291 0.000421 0.000622
2025-11-09 0.000059 0.000089 0.000132 0.000199 0.000300 0.000449 0.000686
2025-11-16 0.000054 0.000083 0.000127 0.000197 0.000306 0.000472 0.000744
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000079 0.000123 0.000196 0.000314 0.000497 0.000808
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000120 0.000197 0.000323 0.000526 0.000878
2025-12-07 0.000042 0.000070 0.000116 0.000194 0.000327 0.000546 0.000937
2025-12-14 0.000040 0.000068 0.000115 0.000197 0.000342 0.000585 0.001031
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000065 0.000113 0.000199 0.000352 0.000619 0.001120
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000062 0.000110 0.000198 0.000360 0.000647 0.001202
2026-01-04 0.000033 0.000061 0.000109 0.000202 0.000376 0.000692 0.001317
2026-01-11 0.000031 0.000058 0.000107 0.000203 0.000386 0.000726 0.001416
2026-01-18 0.000029 0.000056 0.000105 0.000202 0.000394 0.000757 0.001512
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000053 0.000102 0.000201 0.000399 0.000784 0.001601
2026-02-01 0.000026 0.000051 0.000100 0.000201 0.000408 0.000817 0.001706
2026-02-08 0.000024 0.000049 0.000097 0.000199 0.000411 0.000842 0.001794
2026-02-15 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000198 0.000418 0.000872 0.001898
2026-02-22 0.000022 0.000045 0.000093 0.000199 0.000427 0.000908 0.002017